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焦化企业库存上升但压力不大

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焦化企业库存上升但压力不大

  • Categories:企业视角
  • Author:
  • Origin:中焦协网
  • Time of issue:2013-02-21
  • Views:0

(Summary description)

焦化企业库存上升但压力不大

(Summary description)

  • Categories:企业视角
  • Author:
  • Origin:中焦协网
  • Time of issue:2013-02-21
  • Views:0
Information

节后,焦炭一连三个交易日振荡下行,主力合约1309昨日报收1950/吨,较首个交易日收盘价2015/吨下跌3%本轮下跌是对节前上涨的理性修复。上海中财期货投资咨询部经理续剑锋对期货日报记者表示,从目前的成本、库存和下游需求等方面来看,焦炭价格下跌空间有限。

焦炭现货方面,期货日报记者了解到,昨日国内二级冶金焦出厂价(含税)在1500—1750/吨不等。

据了解,春节期间,焦炭最大产区山西省的焦炭企业开工率维持高位,春运期间汽运量下降以及客运对焦炭铁路运输的挤占,对山西焦炭输出造成一定困难。焦化企业库存有所上升,不过压力不大。万达期货段燕明认为。

钢材是焦炭的主要需求端,中钢协的最新统计数据显示,1月末,全国26个主要钢材市场五种钢材(中板、冷轧薄板、热轧薄板、线材和螺纹钢)的社会库存量为1354万吨,比上月末增加166万吨,增幅为13.93%,为连续10个月环比下降以来的首次上升。

期货日报记者了解到,春节长假期间,国内市场基本休市,实际需求停滞,但焦企和钢厂生产基本维持正常开工,国内钢材和焦炭库存明显上涨。下游地产开工一般都在元宵节之后,因此,本周社会钢材库存总量预计会进一步增加。国信期货焦炭分析师施雨辰表示,这会相应延缓对焦炭的需求。
 “
正月十五之前,大量小煤矿停产,炼焦煤供应偏紧格局将持续。段燕明表示。

华北地区一位焦企负责人告诉记者,受炼焦煤成本推动影响,焦企涨价意愿仍存,不过下游钢厂接受度不高,焦企上下两难。该负责人说,目前炼焦煤供需偏紧,这一局面逆转至少要到3月下旬,短期炼焦煤价将维持高位。这虽对焦炭价格形成一定支撑,但焦炭今年的整体走势还需关注对房地产市场的调控政策。段燕明说。

海关总署最新数据显示,当月出口焦炭及半焦炭4万吨,同比下降42.86%。同期,我国进口煤炭3055万吨,同比增加56.3%。对此,一业内人指出,焦炭出口主要受制于国际市场需求,此外,年前国内看涨预期也提前透支了焦炭市场的利好行情。目前国内焦炭现货价格比国外高,进口自然就多了。施雨辰说。

不过,有人认为出口对炼焦行业的影响有限。即使今年焦炭出口达1000万吨,也不足全国产量的5%”进多出少的焦炭进出口形势对焦炭价格压制力量不大。

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